The Misshits
Back to The Real Top 100
How It Works

Methodology

A transparent breakdown of how we built the blended ranking — from raw data to final score.

Why Blended?

Customer feedback (Google + Tripadvisor + sentiment) is noisy: review counts vary 10x across courses, resort umbrellas distort individual courses, and some clubs have no public listings at all. The SA Top 100 expert ranking provides a stable anchor that reflects course quality. Blending the two smooths out feedback noise while still letting customer experience pull a course up or down.

Components (each on a 0–10 scale)

Expert Score

Linear from rank 1 → 10.0 down to rank 100 → 7.0. (Floor isn't 0 because being top-100 is itself a quality signal.)

Google Score

Star rating × 2, Bayesian-shrunk (prior weight m=100) toward the all-courses mean.

Tripadvisor Score

Star rating × 2, Bayesian-shrunk (prior weight m=50).

Sentiment Score

Qualitative 1-10 from 2-5 recent review snippets.

Weights

40%

Expert Rank

anchors the ranking, smooths kinks

30%

Google

20%

Tripadvisor

10%

Sentiment

Missing Data Handling

Expert weight is always 40%. If a customer-feedback source is missing for a course, its weight is redistributed proportionally across the remaining customer sources, so the customer block always sums to 60%.

Example: Google missing → TA scaled from 20% to 40%, Sentiment from 10% to 20%.

Bayesian Shrinkage

In Plain English

Imagine two restaurants. One has a perfect 5-star rating from a single review. The other has 4.5 stars from 2,000 reviews. Which would you actually trust more? Probably the 4.5 — because one review barely tells you anything, while 2,000 reviews are hard to fake.

The Problem

If we took star ratings at face value, a brand-new course with one glowing review would beat a famous course with thousands of reviews averaging slightly lower. That's clearly wrong — the single rating just hasn't been tested enough.

The Fix

Bayesian shrinkage pulls every rating partway toward the average of all courses. How much it gets pulled depends on how many reviews back it up: few reviews → pulled a lot toward the average (we don't trust it yet). Many reviews → barely pulled (we trust what we see).

The Formula

Shrunk = (v / (v + m)) × R + (m / (v + m)) × C

  • RCourse's own rating (0-10 scale)
  • vNumber of reviews on that source
  • mPrior weight (Google m=100, TA m=50)
  • CAll-courses mean (Google ≈ 8.98, TA ≈ 8.48, on 0-10 scale)

Data Quality Note

  • Courses 1–25: Verified line-by-line against Google Maps via Wanderlog and direct Tripadvisor page fetches.
  • Courses 26–100: Star ratings from search results / Wanderlog. Review COUNTS for many of these are estimates (flagged per row). Estimated counts affect the Bayesian shrinkage modestly, not the underlying star ratings.
The Sign Off

Where the
Misshit is a
Badge of Honor.

The Misshits is a South African golf podcast by four mates who love the game. No swing coaches, no stuffy commentary — just raw, honest talk about the game we love and the shots we butcher.

Join the Community →
© 2026 The Misshits. All rights reserved.Embrace the miss.